Friday, June 30, 2006

My turn to play mad innovator

There's been talk for as long as the ICA's been in existence of breaking off into two divisions, for the purposes of an unbalanced schedule favoring rivalries and to add to playoff excitement by creating two separate (but equal!) races.

The straight divisional concept would be a great addition to the league, although there remain some hangups. First, technology is a factor -- we would either need to find a site that allows for free divisional play, or we would have to pony up the extra $200 to upgrade to Yahoo Plus. Second, there is the question of how to fairly align the divisions. We'd want to account for natural rivalries, but then the default alignment would probably end up as "Guys Who Went to High School Together" and "Everybody Else." That's neither equitable nor good for the longterm stability of the league.

Instead, I'd like to propose the ICA adopt -- after expansion to 12 teams -- a fairly radical divisional concept, based on the model of European soccer.

As is my understanding of it, in European soccer, the leagues are realigned each year based on teams' performance the previous year. That is, the bottom-feeders of the Elite League are banished the following season to the Intermediate League, and the top teams from Intermediate move on up to Elite.

Now, I'm not suggesting we banish the Giants and the Mamas Boys.

Rather, we would have two divisions, a Group 1 and a Group 2. These groups would be initially established based on the final standings at the end of our next expansion year. Group 1 would be comprised of the top 6 teams, and Group 2 would be the bottom 6. The groups would play an unbalanced schedule, with games against all teams, but the majority of games against teams in their own group.

But here's the catch: Only teams in Group 1 are eligible to win the Fuggin Cup. Teams in Group 2, on the other hand, are fighting for the right to jump up into Group 1 the following year. The way I envision it (and this can certainly be tweaked), the teams that place in fifth and sixth -- i.e., miss the playoffs in Group 1 -- would be bounced to Group 2. The top two teams in Group 2 would then elevate to Group 1.

Before you scoff at the concept, consider the positives:
  • This model rewards smart, longterm planning, by requiring our champion to be a solid team for at least two consecutive years. It would eliminate the possibility of a flash-in-the-pan winner, a la the 2004 Newmaniacs, not to take anything away from Newman's championship.
  • It would provide serious annual incentive for mediocre or bad teams to compete. Currently, our system discourages middle-of-the-pack teams from really trying to improve themselves in any given year. Instead, it's often beneficial for a mediocre team to merely trade good players and stockpile draft picks with an eye to the future. This system would give every year more urgency, as non-contenders would be fighting to make the jump or to hold on to their position for the next season.
  • It would give legitimate hope to the worst teams. Right now, Colby and Jason have little hope of winning anything of any importance in the near future. But in the group format, they would have a realistically attainable goal -- beating out the mediocre teams for a shot at placement in the top group. Let's face it, Oedipus isn't going to outdo my Golden Sox anytime soon, but it's not unreasonable to think Colby's team could edge out the Pigs -- especially with more games against poor competition.
  • It raises the level of excitement for everybody, even the top teams. With the current model, contenders often get several "weeks off" during the season when they play the lesser squads. Not only are the teams mismatched talentwise, but often the bad teams aren't managed as aggressively because they really aren't playing for anything. With the group format, both of these factors are mitigated -- top teams play other top teams more often, and the bottom teams will be more involved because they'll have an attainable goal.
So, is anybody even on board to considering this proposal? I realize it has a ways to go to perfect it, and I know it is radical. But unlike some other proposals bandied about on this board, this one both solves some genuine competitiveness issues, and it's not overly complicated to understand.

Thoughts?

4 comments:

Pine Tar said...

An interesting suggestion, but I'm not sure it will work as it's intended. Is part of the intent to make expansion/rebuilding teams competitive sooner? In theory it might, but I'm not sure it would in reality. If anything, it might slow the rebuilding/expansion process down. What happens when a team is heading in to the bottom bracket and then due to the MR drawing, several of their key players will have to be let go at the end of the coming season? They're supposed to try and make it to the upper bracket and then, following their loss of MR players, go into the next year already handicapped by the loss and try to compete in the upper bracket? That would be very frustrating, knowing that even though you are in the upper bracket, you will have a hard time competing and get sent down to the bottom bracket again to begin the process all over unless you trade draft picks for the next 3 years out.

Pine Tar said...

And if by managing "aggressively" you mean keeping a flexible roster spot or two to stream starting pitchers (a perfectly acceptable strategy in my opinion) I'm not sure every manager wants to do that.

Lyons said...

Sitting on it...

Lyons said...

Ok, I've been thinking this through for an hour, and I think I've sorted out my thoughts.

I'm neither stating an opinion, or voting, or anything binding in nature. I'm merely sharing some thoughts, in no particular order.

1.) The ICA could use more of this sort of creativity in rules and procedures. Props to Adam for thinking outside the box.

2.) I love the idea of an imbalanced schedule in one form or another. (Ironically, splitting the league into NL fans and AL fans forms some pretty equitable divisions).

3.) If a team is in 5th or 6th place, and feels that 4th is unattainable, this system encourages a sell-off. That's not unlike our current system, except that teams 7 & 8 are encouraged to buy.

4.) I fear this system will create a system of far less diversity in which teams go to the playoffs.

5.) Let's say I'm the 2004 Warriors, and I go for it by mortgaging my future. I'm put in the top division for 2005, during which time I am undergoing a fire sale and I suck. I'm put in the bad division for 2006 during which time I'm a contending team. While rebuilding will probably take longer with 12 teams in the league, sometimes it still won't take 2 years.

6.) Our current system will not work long term. The two MLB leagues split into divisions precisely when they went from 10 to 12 teams.

7.) If I'm in the elite group, to what extent will playing elite teams hurt my chances of having a better record than a good team in the bad division? Could it be possible that there are 3 or even 4 lower division teams with better records than a higher division team? This sounds oddly NCAA-esque, where we tell mid majors with above average records to stay home for the tournament, as they weren't in the big-boy conference.

8.) Steve makes two good points.

9.) Your system assumes that we'll stick with only 4 teams in the playoffs. That'd be my vote, but I wouldn't assume everyone else wants that.

10.) This needs to be discussed at this owner's meeting the same way we did the minor league system: nothing binding to start, followed by a more formal vote once we have the expansion teams on board.

11.) I'm ok with flash-in-the-pan winners, provided the title is legit and not the result of NFL style over-emphasis on parity.

12.) Cubs suck.

13.) We might have standings like this...
Good Div Team 1 (playoffs)
Good Div Team 2 (playoffs)
Good Div Team 3 (playoffs)
Bad Div Team 1
Bad Div Team 2
Good Div Team 4 (playoffs)
Good Div Team 5
Bad Div Team 3
Good Div Team 6
then the rest...

Will Bad Div Team 1 & 2 be allowed in the lottery or not? You could argue it either way.

14.) I think I'm in favor of a divisional format of some sort.